PolyTrace
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Trader profile

PepsiWarrior

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40.7%155 settled · past 180 days7 open · 83% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M436 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded176Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.6% / $95% interval −540.9% to +499.8%25 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−0.7%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 40.7% · Decided 155 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$4.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.2K
Concentration
30%
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$225Avg60¢Current73.5¢1,666.67Shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$827PnL−$173Avg68.3¢Current56.5¢1,464.39Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$633PnL+$133Avg73.5¢Current93.1¢680.08Shares
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
YesValue$469PnL+$12Avg83.4¢Current85.5¢548.44Shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
YesValue$467PnL−$115Avg63¢Current50.5¢924.72Shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$359PnL−$641Avg32¢Current11.5¢3,125Shares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$107PnL−$893Avg45.5¢Current4.9¢2,197.8Shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg64¢Current0¢1,562.5Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet PepsiWarrior: 40.7% win rate over 155 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −20.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −540.9%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−0.7% over 17 fills); −$4.1K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.