PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

occasionalAwareness

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$1.1MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…42 open · 24% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$102.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded242Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.9% / $95% interval −141.6% to +139.7%37 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+0.7%n=14 settled
Politics
−1.9%n=22 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$180.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$28.1K
Concentration
28.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
68
Showing the largest 8 of 68
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
YesValue$51.5KPnL+$23.5KAvg44.3¢Current81.5¢63,164.89Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
YesValue$41.9KPnL+$19.7KAvg35.5¢Current67¢62,540.87Shares
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
NoValue$28.2KPnL+$2KAvg90.6¢Current97.4¢28,909.98Shares
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
Under · NoValue$23.9KPnL+$10KAvg58.1¢Current99.7¢24,002.72Shares
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
YesValue$5.7KPnL−$34Avg41.7¢Current41.5¢13,777.95Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$5KPnL+$2.6KAvg11¢Current23¢21,931.83Shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$3.9KPnL−$3.6KAvg29.9¢Current15.6¢24,768.02Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
YesValue$3.4KPnL+$1.8KAvg11.5¢Current24.5¢13,678.7Shares
Showing 8 of 68 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet occasionalAwareness: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −0.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −141.6%, n=37 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.7% over 14 fills); +$1.1M lifetime P&L, $102.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.