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Trader profile

sportbull

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$66.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50%30 settled · past 180 days0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$435.6K867 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded36Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.2% / $95% interval −40.8% to −3.5%32 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−22.2%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50% · Decided 30 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete37 minutes ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$106.3K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$0PnL−$3.7KAvg71¢Current5,192.24Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$10.8KAvg70¢Current15,499.78Shares
Seattle Mariners · NoValue$0PnL−$9KAvg51¢Current17,552.98Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$6.5KAvg82.8¢Current7,869.98Shares
Chicago White Sox · NoValue$0PnL−$3.8KAvg42¢Current9,071.92Shares
Chicago Cubs · NoValue$0PnL−$4.2KAvg58¢Current7,219.96Shares
Cincinnati Reds · NoValue$0PnL−$6.9KAvg58.9¢Current11,699.64Shares
St. Louis Cardinals · YesValue$0PnL−$4.9KAvg36¢Current13,679.84Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet sportbull: 50% win rate over 30 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −22.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −40.8%, n=32 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−22.2% over 32 fills); −$66.4K lifetime P&L, $435.6K traded, updated 2026-09-24.