Last loaded5 days ago
- Current position value
- $0
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$2.2K
- Concentration
- — Largest share of value
- Positions
- 4 All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
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Trader profile
0x8a15…4f9f
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$3.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 22 days ago
Lifetime volume$228.7K119 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded10Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−57.1% / $95% interval −377.4% to +263.1%20 settled fills · 90d window
- Crypto
- −57.1%n=20 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 1 hour ago
How this record is measured
This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.7Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$2.9Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$2.5Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$4.9Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$3.8KAbout this wallet
Wallet 0x8a15545c807dea4918070612890287d9e53d4f9f: edge −57.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −377.4%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−57.1% over 20 fills); −$3.1K lifetime P&L, $228.7K traded, updated 2026-09-19.