PolyTrace
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Trader profile

ForLastDance

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate79.3%363 settled · past 180 days0 open · 15 days ago
Lifetime volume$328.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded383Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.7% / $95% interval −290.3% to +263.0%56 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−4.2%n=36 settled
Sports
−19.6%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 79.3% · Decided 363 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.6K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury
Golden State Valkyries · YesValue$0PnL−$169Avg90¢Current0¢187.67Shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6?
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$103Avg79¢Current0¢131Shares
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
PlayTime · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg50¢Current0¢20Shares
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels · NoValue$0PnL−$337Avg85¢Current0¢396.04Shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
MOUZ NXT · YesValue$0PnL−$90Avg89.5¢Current0¢100Shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 27?
NoValue$0PnL−$49Avg74.8¢Current0¢65.52Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$4Avg21¢Current0¢19.05Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg50.1¢Current0¢399.07Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ForLastDance: 79.3% win rate over 363 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −13.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −290.3%, n=56 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−4.2% over 36 fills); −$4.4K lifetime P&L, $328.8K traded, updated 2026-09-22.