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Trader profile

averagerandomman

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$81.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate73.3%6,828 settled · past 90 days60 open · 26% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$49.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,938Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+13.7% / $95% interval −65.6% to +92.9%709 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+14.8%n=668 settled
Unmapped
−4.5%n=41 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 73.3% · Decided 6,828 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$14.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$133.3K
Concentration
29.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,221
Showing the largest 8 of 1,221
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on September 23?
YesValue$4.1KPnL+$3.6KAvg13.5¢Current100¢4,140.23Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 24?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$1.5KAvg9.8¢Current45.2¢4,181.61Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 24?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$1.1KAvg9.8¢Current37.1¢4,107.28Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 24?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$5Avg99.5¢Current100¢1,199.94Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 24?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$5Avg99.5¢Current100¢1,110Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$4Avg98.4¢Current98.1¢1,090Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 24?
YesValue$425PnL+$16Avg9.8¢Current10.2¢4,190.55Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 24?
YesValue$396PnL+$1Avg98.7¢Current99¢399.99Shares
Showing 8 of 1,221 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet averagerandomman: 73.3% win rate over 6,828 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +13.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −65.6%, n=709 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+14.8% over 668 fills); +$81.1K lifetime P&L, $49.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.