PolyTrace
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Trader profile

OrbitSugarFree

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$57Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50%26 settled · past 180 days18 open · 9% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded65Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−33.8% / $95% interval −84.2% to +16.6%102 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−33.8%n=102 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50% · Decided 26 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$14K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1K
Concentration
39.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
NoValue$5.6KPnL+$89Avg88.1¢Current89.5¢6,233.22Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
NoValue$2.4KPnL+$78Avg96.3¢Current99.6¢2,374.24Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$141Avg90.8¢Current98.7¢1,791.55Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
YesValue$711PnL+$29Avg27.4¢Current28.5¢2,495.85Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?
NoValue$571PnL+$7Avg98.3¢Current99.6¢573.11Shares
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?
NoValue$567PnL+$28Avg89.7¢Current94.5¢600Shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$552PnL+$28Avg93.3¢Current98.3¢561.72Shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
NoValue$398PnL+$26Avg92¢Current98.4¢404.2Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet OrbitSugarFree: 50% win rate over 26 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −33.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −84.2%, n=102 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−33.8% over 102 fills); +$57 lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-22.