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Trader profile

Quarzo

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.3%203 settled · past 180 days9 open · 79% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$569.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded166Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.7% / $95% interval −191.2% to +175.7%18 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.3% · Decided 203 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$5.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.9K
Concentration
44.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
50
Showing the largest 8 of 50
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$18Avg62¢Current62.5¢3,662.63Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL−$448Avg74.4¢Current57.5¢2,652.09Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$102Avg52.6¢Current57.7¢2,016.44Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$43PnL+$27Avg37¢Current96.5¢44.99Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
NoValue$30PnL+$16Avg19.7¢Current41.2¢72.78Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$23PnL−$218Avg8¢Current0.8¢3,000Shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$20PnL+$13Avg13¢Current39¢50Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$15PnL−$7Avg60¢Current41.5¢35.56Shares
Showing 8 of 50 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Quarzo: 46.3% win rate over 203 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −7.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −191.2%, n=18 settled fills over 90 days); −$6.6K lifetime P&L, $569.5K traded, updated 2026-09-24.