PolyTrace
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Trader profile

pakukudolphi

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$126KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…30 open · 34% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded246Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.7% / $95% interval −355.5% to +336.1%35 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−19.5%n=29 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$213.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$14.6K
Concentration
18.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
32
Showing the largest 8 of 32
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$39KPnL+$14.4KAvg50¢Current79.4¢49,200Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$37.7KPnL+$1.6KAvg95¢Current99.1¢38,036.16Shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$34KPnL−$463Avg90.2¢Current89¢38,167.71Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$16.9KPnL+$1.5KAvg88.4¢Current96.9¢17,500.25Shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
NoValue$12.9KPnL+$3.7KAvg64.5¢Current90.8¢14,162.69Shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
NoValue$11.4KPnL+$1.4KAvg84¢Current95.4¢12,000.44Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$10.2KPnL−$14.4KAvg50¢Current20.7¢49,200Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$8.5KPnL+$250Avg83¢Current85.5¢9,994.09Shares
Showing 8 of 32 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pakukudolphi: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −9.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −355.5%, n=35 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−19.5% over 29 fills); +$126K lifetime P&L, $7.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.