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Trader profile

pups10

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$11.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.7%23,265 settled · past 90 days35 open · 59% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,804Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.3% / $95% interval −50.0% to +64.5%114 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.7%n=111 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.7% · Decided 23,265 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded1 day ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$10.5K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$47K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
43.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins · YesValue$4.6KPnL−$71Avg87.8¢Current86.5¢5,273.06Shares
Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins · YesValue$1.6KPnL+$961Avg40.2¢Current100¢1,609.54Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers · NoValue$1.4KPnL+$109Avg90¢Current97.5¢1,461.68Shares
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)
Miami Marlins · NoValue$1.4KPnL+$169Avg88¢Current100¢1,415.08Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Athletics · NoValue$558PnL+$371Avg14.2¢Current42.4¢1,313.93Shares
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants · NoValue$312PnL−$145Avg19.8¢Current13.5¢2,310Shares
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
San Francisco Giants · NoValue$217PnL−$93Avg36.4¢Current25.5¢852.33Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros · YesValue$99PnL+$50Avg48.3¢Current96.9¢102.51Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet pups10: 52.7% win rate over 23,265 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +7.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −50.0%, n=114 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.7% over 111 fills); +$11.4K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.