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Trader profile

RenanPresidente.

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$608.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate76.7%120 settled · past 90 days25 open · <1% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$13.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded405Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.7% / $95% interval −317.2% to +273.9%182 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−15.1%n=35 settled
Politics
−22.9%n=140 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 76.7% · Decided 120 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$949.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$99.2K
Concentration
55%
Largest share of value
Positions
49
Showing the largest 8 of 49
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$521.7KPnL+$79.6KAvg73.3¢Current86.5¢603,095.42Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$127.1KPnL+$17KAvg50.3¢Current58.2¢218,495.79Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
NoValue$82.1KPnL+$1.7KAvg80.8¢Current82.5¢99,563.45Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$56.5KPnL+$6.6KAvg83.4¢Current94.5¢59,872.79Shares
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$26.4KPnL+$166Avg88.9¢Current89.5¢29,480.26Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
NoValue$26KPnL+$800Avg86.7¢Current89.5¢29,082.98Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
NoValue$21.8KPnL+$835Avg88¢Current91.5¢23,863.64Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$18.8KPnL+$1.1KAvg55¢Current58.5¢32,092.25Shares
Showing 8 of 49 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RenanPresidente.: 76.7% win rate over 120 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −317.2%, n=182 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−15.1% over 35 fills); +$608.4K lifetime P&L, $13.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.