PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

almost-never

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$53.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate70%30 settled · past 90 days8 open · 49% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$11.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded339Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.3% / $95% interval −157.7% to +164.4%24 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−1.4%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 70% · Decided 30 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$259.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$30.3K
Concentration
69.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
35
Showing the largest 8 of 35
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$180.1KPnL+$66.6KAvg50¢Current79.4¢227,000Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$46.9KPnL−$66.6KAvg50¢Current20.7¢227,000Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$17.3KPnL+$7.3KAvg50¢Current86.6¢20,000Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$10.2KPnL+$1.4KAvg80¢Current92.5¢11,000Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$2.7KPnL−$7.3KAvg50¢Current13.5¢20,000Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$305Avg56¢Current65.5¢3,206.38Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$278PnL+$38Avg80¢Current92.5¢300Shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
NoValue$0.60PnL+$0.14Avg75.3¢Current97.8¢0.61Shares
Showing 8 of 35 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet almost-never: 70% win rate over 30 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −157.7%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−1.4% over 19 fills); +$53.1K lifetime P&L, $11.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.