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Trader profile

novason1

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$2.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded341Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+5.2% / $95% interval −27.9% to +38.2%41 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+5.2%n=41 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$26.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
50
Showing the largest 8 of 50
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli · NoValue$0PnL−$8Avg52¢Current0¢16.02Shares
CA Central Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg2.4¢Current0¢100Shares
CA Central Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$14Avg86¢Current0¢16.43Shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
YesValue$0PnL−$468Avg39¢Current0¢1,199.98Shares
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart
Harriet Dart · NoValue$0PnL−$12Avg24.3¢Current0¢47.8Shares
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinez
Henrique Rocha · YesValue$0PnL−$393Avg27.2¢Current0¢1,444Shares
Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs Joint (+1.5)
Eala · YesValue$0PnL−$389Avg54.8¢Current0¢710Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel · NoValue$0PnL−$384Avg32¢Current0¢1,200Shares
Showing 8 of 50 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet novason1: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +5.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −27.9%, n=41 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+5.2% over 41 fills); +$2.8K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.