PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

cryptedkev

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.3%417 settled · past 180 days0 open · 10 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded553Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+6.4% / $95% interval −19.8% to +32.6%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.4%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.3% · Decided 417 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
16
Showing the largest 8 of 16
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg25¢Current80Shares
France · YesValue$0PnL−$22Avg58.7¢Current37.45Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg62.9¢Current158.97Shares
Conor McGregor · NoValue$0PnL−$24Avg28¢Current84.32Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$502Avg58.8¢Current853.97Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg52.4¢Current572.21Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$35Avg45¢Current77.78Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$98Avg60¢Current163.12Shares
Showing 8 of 16 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cryptedkev: 46.3% win rate over 417 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +6.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −19.8%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.4% over 14 fills); −$4K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-20.