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Trader profile

cruzNBA

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$40.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.3%473 settled · past 90 days7 open · 0% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$11.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded779Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+4.3% / $95% interval −8.7% to +17.3%502 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+32.2%n=72 settled
Sports
−1.3%n=430 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.3% · Decided 473 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$32.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.5M
Concentration
75.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
400
Showing the largest 8 of 400
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
3DMAX · NoValue$24.9KPnL+$4.3KAvg50.8¢Current61.5¢40,407.4Shares
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
NoValue$6.4KPnL+$115Avg96.7¢Current98.5¢6,470.54Shares
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$426Avg3.4¢Current5.1¢25,545.64Shares
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$138PnL+$107Avg2.5¢Current11.2¢1,238.51Shares
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
NoValue$128PnL+$2Avg97.8¢Current99.4¢129Shares
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?
NoValue$64PnL+$2Avg96.7¢Current99.4¢64.28Shares
Will Russell Westbrook play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?
NoValue$21PnL+$0.33Avg98¢Current99.6¢21Shares
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Team Falcons · NoValue$0PnL−$327Avg65.9¢Current0¢495.75Shares
Showing 8 of 400 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cruzNBA: 50.3% win rate over 473 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +4.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −8.7%, n=502 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−1.3% over 430 fills); +$40.3K lifetime P&L, $11.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.