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Trader profile

Osetinskaya

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.9%401 settled · past 180 days7 open · 92% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$451.1K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded490Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.2% / $95% interval −411.8% to +367.3%11 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.9% · Decided 401 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$3.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$12.3K
Concentration
79.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
135
Showing the largest 8 of 135
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$2.6KPnL−$3.6KAvg34.7¢Current14.5¢17,730.11Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$345PnL+$282Avg14¢Current76.5¢451.13Shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$139PnL+$39Avg5.1¢Current7¢1,969.23Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YesValue$96PnL−$52Avg10¢Current6.5¢1,478.18Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$58PnL−$10Avg17¢Current14.5¢400Shares
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$10PnL−$12Avg1.1¢Current0.5¢2,000Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
YesValue$3PnL−$20Avg10¢Current1.2¢228.77Shares
Exact Score: Chungbuk Cheongju FC 2 - 3 Suwon Bluewings?
NoValue$0.47PnL+$0.46Avg2¢Current100¢0.47Shares
Showing 8 of 135 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Osetinskaya: 49.9% win rate over 401 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −22.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −411.8%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days); +$2K lifetime P&L, $451.1K traded, updated 2026-09-22.