PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x8791…4c9a

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$20.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate36.5%534 settled · past 180 days12 open · 39% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,006Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.6% / $95% interval −226.7% to +203.6%19 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.9%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 36.5% · Decided 534 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$206
Snapshot cash PnL
−$54.6K
Concentration
29.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
224
Showing the largest 8 of 224
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
YesValue$60PnL+$17Avg2¢Current2.8¢2,172.36Shares
Will Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
YesValue$50PnL−$17Avg6¢Current4.5¢1,120.38Shares
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$45PnL+$1Avg1.8¢Current1.9¢2,408.86Shares
Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
YesValue$22PnL−$0.65Avg4.2¢Current4.1¢547.77Shares
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
YesValue$12PnL$0Avg0.4¢Current0.4¢2,917.15Shares
Will Nate Ament win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
YesValue$10PnL+$7Avg0.1¢Current0.3¢3,290.59Shares
Will Washington Mystics win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
YesValue$3PnL+$2Avg0.7¢Current2¢178.56Shares
Will the New Orleans Pelicans be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
YesValue$1PnL+$0.80Avg0.3¢Current0.7¢229.65Shares
Showing 8 of 224 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x8791609e0b62a5d9847502061a4b9bff8f824c9a: 36.5% win rate over 534 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −11.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −226.7%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.9% over 18 fills); −$20.9K lifetime P&L, $1.9M traded, updated 2026-09-21.