PolyTrace
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Trader profile

rewardbots

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$48.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.4%240 settled · past 180 days65 open · 59% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded421Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.4% / $95% interval −169.8% to +150.9%207 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+6.6%n=16 settled
Tech
+0.1%n=114 settled
Politics
−21.6%n=65 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.4% · Decided 240 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$22.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.8K
Concentration
10.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
67
Showing the largest 8 of 67
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$1.2KAvg10.8¢Current23.5¢9,696.95Shares
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
YesValue$1.7KPnL+$138Avg68.3¢Current74.5¢2,215.52Shares
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$135Avg73.3¢Current80¢2,004.63Shares
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.4KPnL−$202Avg44.7¢Current39¢3,522.86Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$185Avg36.5¢Current42.5¢3,094.06Shares
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$137Avg46.4¢Current52.5¢2,240.92Shares
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?
NoValue$999PnL+$72Avg78.9¢Current85¢1,175.56Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
NoValue$755PnL+$89Avg41¢Current46.5¢1,624Shares
Showing 8 of 67 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet rewardbots: 45.4% win rate over 240 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −9.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −169.8%, n=207 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Tech (+0.1% over 114 fills); +$48.9K lifetime P&L, $3.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.