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Trader profile

ERN993

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$6.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate5.2%894 settled · past 180 days19 open · 90% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$23.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded72Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−34.5% / $95% interval −99.9% to +30.9%13 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−34.5%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 5.2% · Decided 894 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$279
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.8K
Concentration
24.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
217
Showing the largest 8 of 217
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$69PnL+$15Avg0.4¢Current0.5¢13,783.73Shares
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
YesValue$39PnL+$28Avg3.1¢Current10.9¢360.98Shares
Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
YesValue$31PnL+$19Avg3.1¢Current8.5¢360.98Shares
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
YesValue$23PnL+$12Avg3.1¢Current6.5¢359.4Shares
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$21PnL−$34Avg0.4¢Current0.2¢13,783.73Shares
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
YesValue$18PnL−$168Avg0.5¢Current0.1¢36,332.89Shares
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
YesValue$15PnL+$7Avg3.1¢Current6.2¢244.24Shares
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
YesValue$12PnL+$0.99Avg3.1¢Current3.4¢360.98Shares
Showing 8 of 217 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ERN993: 5.2% win rate over 894 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −34.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −99.9%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−34.5% over 13 fills); +$6.4K lifetime P&L, $23.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.