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Trader profile

JUSTINHERBERTMVP

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$391KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.3%1,034 settled · past 90 days26 open · 98% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$22.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded617Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.7% / $95% interval −26.3% to +16.9%1,089 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+27.7%n=89 settled
Sports
−5.5%n=941 settled
Finance
−34.0%n=45 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.3% · Decided 1,034 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$7.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.3M
Concentration
33.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
802
Showing the largest 8 of 802
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
YesValue$2.5KPnL−$5.6KAvg64.9¢Current20¢12,389.88Shares
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
YesValue$817PnL−$123Avg52.9¢Current46¢1,776.23Shares
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?
YesValue$603PnL−$1.6KAvg10¢Current2.7¢22,328.41Shares
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
YesValue$559PnL−$21Avg14¢Current13.5¢4,137.1Shares
Will Justin Herbert have 3,599.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
YesValue$378PnL−$28Avg55.8¢Current52¢725.99Shares
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$335PnL−$76Avg13.7¢Current11.2¢3,000Shares
Will Justin Herbert have 3,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
YesValue$260PnL+$39Avg80.7¢Current95¢273.78Shares
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
YesValue$254PnL−$30Avg23.6¢Current21.2¢1,200Shares
Showing 8 of 802 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet JUSTINHERBERTMVP: 50.3% win rate over 1,034 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −26.3%, n=1,089 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.5% over 941 fills); −$391K lifetime P&L, $22.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.