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Trader profile

LeopoldArschenbrenner

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 18 settled so far120 open · 60% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$669.5K980 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded54Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$59.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.5K
Concentration
11.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
120
Showing the largest 8 of 120
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$6.9KPnL−$3.9KAvg54¢Current34.5¢19,973.31Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$6.5KPnL−$8Avg86.8¢Current86.7¢7,462.94Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$5.2KPnL+$2.6KAvg7.8¢Current15.5¢33,698.52Shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$3.7KPnL−$1.3KAvg36¢Current26.5¢14,101.5Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$3.5KPnL−$1.2KAvg20.7¢Current15.4¢22,872.46Shares
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$913Avg59.6¢Current89.5¢3,051.66Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$2.5KPnL+$724Avg6.2¢Current8.8¢28,501.75Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$1.5KAvg3.3¢Current11.5¢18,021.37Shares
Showing 8 of 120 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LeopoldArschenbrenner: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$1.4K lifetime P&L, $669.5K traded, updated 2026-09-23.