PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x864e…1951

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$808Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet7 open · 63% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$63.4K197 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded96Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$232
Snapshot cash PnL
−$297
Concentration
76.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
28
Showing the largest 8 of 28
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
YesValue$177PnL+$47Avg71.2¢Current97¢182.53Shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$18PnL+$8Avg4.5¢Current8¢222.22Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$16PnL+$11Avg5.5¢Current17.3¢90.91Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$11PnL+$6Avg8.1¢Current18.5¢61.73Shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?
YesValue$5PnL−$5Avg9¢Current4.5¢111.11Shares
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
YesValue$4PnL−$56Avg29.2¢Current1.8¢205.27Shares
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?
YesValue$1PnL−$59Avg2.1¢Current0.1¢2,864.38Shares
Hornets vs. Nets
NetsValue$0PnL−$10Avg7.2¢Current0¢138.87Shares
Showing 8 of 28 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x864e1bdc74d440c396192ee6379a3eb672961951: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$808 lifetime P&L, $63.4K traded, updated 2026-09-22.