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Trader profile

CrackAlex

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$569Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…3 open · 87% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$199.8K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded674Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.9% / $95% interval −76.9% to +59.2%13 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−5.5%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$212
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.7K
Concentration
35.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
42
Showing the largest 8 of 42
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Under · NoValue$75PnL−$5Avg44¢Current41.5¢180Shares
Bowling Green · NoValue$69PnL−$0.90Avg39¢Current38.5¢179Shares
Over · YesValue$68PnL+$0.80Avg42¢Current42.5¢160Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$12Avg60¢Current19.85Shares
Raul Brancaccio · YesValue$0PnL−$69Avg46¢Current150Shares
Dimitris Sakellaridis · YesValue$0PnL−$90Avg47¢Current191.49Shares
Ella Seidel · YesValue$0PnL−$34Avg30¢Current113.99Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$60Avg40¢Current150Shares
Showing 8 of 42 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet CrackAlex: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −8.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −76.9%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−5.5% over 12 fills); +$569 lifetime P&L, $199.8K traded, updated 2026-09-19.