PolyTrace
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Trader profile

calamansidios

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$8.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate68.4%38 settled · past 90 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$288.5K99 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded51Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.6% / $95% interval −28.9% to +15.8%46 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−6.6%n=46 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 68.4% · Decided 38 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$60K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Ljubljana: Miriam Bulgaru vs Lina Gjorcheska
Lina Gjorcheska · NoValue$0PnL−$5.1KAvg63.8¢Current0¢8,000Shares
Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Luca Castagnola
Luca Castagnola · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg28.2¢Current0¢3,571.91Shares
Will Orense SC win on 2026-09-07?
NoValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg53.8¢Current0¢4,490Shares
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs · NoValue$0PnL−$5.1KAvg61¢Current0¢8,283.51Shares
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 3.5 Corners
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$383Avg52.9¢Current0¢725Shares
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Playoffs
Procyon Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$3.9KAvg33.9¢Current0¢11,599.99Shares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios
Daniel Rincon · YesValue$0PnL−$541Avg41.6¢Current0¢1,300Shares
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$7.5KAvg50¢Current0¢15,000Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet calamansidios: 68.4% win rate over 38 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −6.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −28.9%, n=46 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.6% over 46 fills); −$8.1K lifetime P&L, $288.5K traded, updated 2026-09-23.