PolyTrace
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Trader profile

MAFDET

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$805Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.4%86 settled · past 180 days0 open · 20 days ago
Lifetime volume$180.2K200 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded79Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.6% / $95% interval −520.4% to +479.2%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−20.6%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.4% · Decided 86 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.6K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
27
Showing the largest 8 of 27
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
KT Rolster · NoValue$0PnL−$3.8KAvg71¢Current0¢5,292.83Shares
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega
DRX · NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg26.5¢Current0¢4,373.93Shares
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha
FURIA Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$30Avg26¢Current0¢115.38Shares
Valorant: Team Envy vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha
Team Envy · YesValue$0PnL−$30Avg12¢Current0¢250Shares
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)
FURIA EsportsValue$0PnL−$30Avg54¢Current0¢55.56Shares
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
Gen.G Global Academy · YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg24¢Current0¢6Shares
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
EDward Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg4¢Current0¢250Shares
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)
Nongshim RedForceValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.1¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 27 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MAFDET: 45.4% win rate over 86 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −20.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −520.4%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−20.6% over 20 fills); −$805 lifetime P&L, $180.2K traded, updated 2026-09-20.