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Trader profile

thefakenick

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$56.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.5%1,238 settled · past 180 days141 open · 78% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$20.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded315Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.6% / $95% interval −185.1% to +141.9%162 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−21.6%n=162 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.5% · Decided 1,238 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$48.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.8K
Concentration
42.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
141
Showing the largest 8 of 141
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
NoValue$20.8KPnL−$273Avg78.5¢Current77.5¢26,815.67Shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
NoValue$4KPnL+$410Avg18.4¢Current20.5¢19,387.8Shares
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
NoValue$3KPnL−$3.6KAvg47.5¢Current21.5¢14,019.98Shares
Will Armando González (Guadalajara) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season?
NoValue$2.5KPnL+$140Avg90.2¢Current95.5¢2,646.71Shares
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
NoValue$2.4KPnL+$6Avg97.6¢Current97.9¢2,490.35Shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$59Avg13¢Current13.5¢11,715.3Shares
Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$125Avg27.6¢Current30.5¢4,366.8Shares
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$57Avg82¢Current78¢1,428.17Shares
Showing 8 of 141 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet thefakenick: 57.5% win rate over 1,238 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −21.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −185.1%, n=162 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−21.6% over 162 fills); +$56.8K lifetime P&L, $20.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.