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Trader profile

AJM96

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$101.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.7%149 settled · past 180 days19 open · 39% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$10.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded372Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.0% / $95% interval −362.4% to +316.5%40 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.7%n=32 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.7% · Decided 149 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$83.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$108.8K
Concentration
71.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
91
Showing the largest 8 of 91
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$59.4KPnL+$38.4KAvg32.8¢Current92.8¢64,029.72Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$7.4KPnL−$229Avg52.8¢Current51.2¢14,507.43Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$5.7KPnL−$7.6KAvg17.6¢Current7.5¢75,895Shares
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
YesValue$3.4KPnL+$1.2KAvg62.2¢Current96.1¢3,572.02Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$2KPnL−$1.2KAvg25.6¢Current15.9¢12,391.63Shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$302Avg51¢Current63.5¢2,419.63Shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$9.2KAvg26.1¢Current2.7¢39,488.5Shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$837PnL−$1.2KAvg7¢Current2.9¢29,384.63Shares
Showing 8 of 91 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet AJM96: 61.7% win rate over 149 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −362.4%, n=40 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.7% over 32 fills); +$101.4K lifetime P&L, $10.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.