PolyTrace
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Trader profile

LJa7io23MCv954j

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$19.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.7%138 settled · past 90 days20 open · 1% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded170Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.0% / $95% interval −160.1% to +136.0%101 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−8.1%n=84 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.7% · Decided 138 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$95.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$34.6K
Concentration
24.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
57
Showing the largest 8 of 57
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
NoValue$22.9KPnL+$11.8KAvg46.3¢Current95.5¢23,988.72Shares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
NoValue$13.9KPnL+$8.5KAvg31.3¢Current80.5¢17,238.39Shares
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
NoValue$13.1KPnL+$7.2KAvg37.9¢Current84.5¢15,468.85Shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
NoValue$12.7KPnL+$2.7KAvg67.5¢Current85.5¢14,866.19Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$10.9KPnL+$3.9KAvg59.8¢Current92.5¢11,797.14Shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
NoValue$7.7KPnL+$720Avg80.7¢Current89¢8,682.88Shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
NoValue$3KPnL+$502Avg75.4¢Current90.5¢3,338.59Shares
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.5KPnL+$605Avg62.9¢Current82.5¢3,081Shares
Showing 8 of 57 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LJa7io23MCv954j: 71.7% win rate over 138 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −160.1%, n=101 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−8.1% over 84 fills); −$19.3K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.