PolyTrace
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Trader profile

products

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$21.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet187 open · 27% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,216Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.5% / $95% interval −754.8% to +719.7%17 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−18.1%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded3 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$34.6K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$191.1K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
93.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
4,999
Showing the largest 8 of 4,999
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$32.4KPnL+$2.5KAvg85.2¢Current92.5¢34,999.66Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$424Avg33.3¢Current54.5¢1,999.99Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$540PnL−$120Avg16.5¢Current13.5¢4,000Shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
YesValue$106PnL+$98Avg3.7¢Current49.5¢213.94Shares
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
YesValue$83PnL+$83Avg0¢Current45.5¢182Shares
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$27PnL−$40Avg3.6¢Current1.5¢1,868Shares
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$25PnL+$25Avg0¢Current39.5¢62.84Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$15PnL+$15Avg0¢Current73.5¢21Shares
Showing 8 of 4,999 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet products: edge −17.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −754.8%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−18.1% over 16 fills); +$21.7K lifetime P&L, $9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.