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Trader profile

Mr.Kirk

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$5.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.1%648 settled · past 180 days27 open · 15% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,380Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.3% / $95% interval −279.9% to +235.2%22 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−17.9%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.1% · Decided 648 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$33.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$54.2K
Concentration
18.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
157
Showing the largest 8 of 157
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$6KPnL+$197Avg59.2¢Current61.3¢9,805.09Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$4.6KPnL+$2.4KAvg8.2¢Current17.3¢26,615.66Shares
Will Miami Hurricanes Win the 2026 ACC Championship?
YesValue$3KPnL+$293Avg61.9¢Current68.5¢4,412.9Shares
Will Georgia Tech have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$851Avg57.8¢Current85¢3,134Shares
Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,774.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$238Avg50¢Current55.5¢4,329Shares
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 46.5
Under · NoValue$1.3KPnL+$551Avg57¢Current99.5¢1,299Shares
Will Justin Herbert have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$475Avg38¢Current62.5¢1,939.9Shares
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
Rams · YesValue$1.2KPnL+$520Avg57¢Current100¢1,210Shares
Showing 8 of 157 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Mr.Kirk: 49.1% win rate over 648 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −22.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −279.9%, n=22 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−17.9% over 20 fills); +$5.6K lifetime P&L, $1.6M traded, updated 2026-09-22.