PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x84d4…77a9

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$28.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.8%17,583 settled · past 180 days17 open · 72% underwater · 37 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$4.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,371Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+10.2% / $95% interval −327.4% to +347.8%78 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+9.6%n=70 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.8% · Decided 17,583 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete37 minutes ago
Current position value
$313
Snapshot cash PnL
−$161
Concentration
40.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
22
Showing the largest 8 of 22
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
YesValue$126PnL+$89Avg1.9¢Current6.4¢1,986.69Shares
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?
NoValue$61PnL+$4Avg11.8¢Current12.7¢482.9Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$55PnL−$14Avg53.4¢Current42.9¢128.96Shares
Will Chattanooga Red Wolves SC win on 2026-08-01?
YesValue$21PnL+$0.63Avg58¢Current59.8¢35.1Shares
Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of October 2026?
YesValue$11PnL−$88Avg42¢Current4.8¢237.12Shares
Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 1.5
UnderValue$9PnL+$4Avg23¢Current40.3¢21.95Shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
YesValue$8PnL−$23Avg7¢Current1.9¢446.55Shares
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
NoValue$8PnL−$1Avg26.5¢Current23¢32.81Shares
Showing 8 of 22 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x84d4f0a864c647b88635c0e299da30d7606377a9: 50.8% win rate over 17,583 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +10.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −327.4%, n=78 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+9.6% over 70 fills); −$28.2K lifetime P&L, $4.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.