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Trader profile

BillBenter2026

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$18.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.5%23,048 settled · past 90 days12 open · 50% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$83.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,085Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.1% / $95% interval −58.5% to +18.3%216 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−20.1%n=216 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.5% · Decided 23,048 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$905.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$32.1K
Concentration
78.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
899
Showing the largest 8 of 899
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$714.2KPnL+$264.2KAvg50¢Current79.4¢900,000Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$185.9KPnL−$264.2KAvg50¢Current20.7¢900,000Shares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Zhizhen Zhang vs Rei Sakamoto
Rei Sakamoto · NoValue$1.1KPnL−$68Avg53¢Current50¢2,262Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Athletics · NoValue$609PnL+$128Avg58.9¢Current74.5¢817Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks · YesValue$533PnL+$114Avg78.5¢Current100¢533.5Shares
Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar · NoValue$501PnL+$209Avg58.4¢Current100¢501.3Shares
Monterrey Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Anastasia Potapova
Anastasia Potapova · NoValue$500PnL+$100Avg40¢Current50¢1,000Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres · YesValue$429PnL+$134Avg43.6¢Current63.5¢674.98Shares
Showing 8 of 899 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet BillBenter2026: 51.5% win rate over 23,048 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −20.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −58.5%, n=216 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−20.1% over 216 fills); +$18.6K lifetime P&L, $83.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.