PolyTrace
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Trader profile

cripes3

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$112.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate43.4%311 settled · past 90 days87 open · 86% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$23.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,173Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.4% / $95% interval −521.6% to +524.4%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 28 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 43.4% · Decided 311 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$21.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$201.3K
Concentration
14.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
424
Showing the largest 8 of 424
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$3.1KPnL−$1.1KAvg84.5¢Current61.9¢4,999.97Shares
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
NoValue$1.8KPnL−$3KAvg81¢Current30.5¢6,002Shares
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$361Avg65¢Current84¢1,898.26Shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$360Avg58.5¢Current76.5¢2,000.02Shares
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$83Avg89¢Current94.5¢1,499.96Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
NoValue$1.4KPnL−$4.1KAvg73.3¢Current18.5¢7,453.07Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL−$1.1KAvg23.8¢Current11.5¢8,719.12Shares
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
YesValue$795PnL−$205Avg87.4¢Current69.5¢1,144Shares
Showing 8 of 424 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet cripes3: 43.4% win rate over 311 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +1.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −521.6%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); −$112.3K lifetime P&L, $23.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.