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Trader profile

flyfat88

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$24.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.8%23 settled · past 90 days3 open · 0% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded39Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.8% / $95% interval −47.4% to +33.7%17 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−7.6%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.8% · Decided 23 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$3.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.9K
Concentration
45.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$1.4KPnL+$11Avg97.8¢Current98.6¢1,453.39Shares
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$70Avg89.9¢Current94.6¢1,500Shares
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
NoValue$323PnL+$112Avg65.1¢Current99.5¢324.97Shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$9.7KAvg26.5¢Current0¢36,530.51Shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.09Avg18.4¢Current0¢0.5Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.52Avg16.7¢Current0¢3.1Shares
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$374Avg4.9¢Current0¢7,635.41Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.52Avg16.7¢Current0¢3.1Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet flyfat88: 47.8% win rate over 23 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −6.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −47.4%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−7.6% over 15 fills); +$24.2K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.