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Trader profile

kegli

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$14.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.3%80 settled · past 90 days48 open · 72% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded179Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.2% / $95% interval −98.7% to +50.4%12 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−24.2%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.3% · Decided 80 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$12.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.3K
Concentration
15%
Largest share of value
Positions
62
Showing the largest 8 of 62
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$1.9KPnL−$70Avg50.2¢Current48.5¢3,999.98Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$393Avg74.6¢Current93.6¢2,070.3Shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$45Avg14¢Current13.5¢9,040.96Shares
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$860PnL+$20Avg21¢Current21.5¢3,999.99Shares
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$838PnL+$76Avg18.6¢Current20.5¢4,085.46Shares
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
YesValue$825PnL−$25Avg56.7¢Current55¢1,500Shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$575PnL−$25Avg12¢Current11.5¢4,999.96Shares
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
YesValue$549PnL+$32Avg8¢Current8.5¢6,464Shares
Showing 8 of 62 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kegli: 51.3% win rate over 80 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −24.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −98.7%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−24.2% over 12 fills); +$14.9K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.