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Trader profile

Sugarina

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$9.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate11.2%1,120 settled · past 90 days27 open · 48% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$3.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded899Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.1% / $95% interval −406.0% to +385.9%12 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−10.5%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 11.2% · Decided 1,120 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$6.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.3K
Concentration
50.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
50
Showing the largest 8 of 50
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
YesValue$3.4KPnL+$2.5KAvg25.1¢Current91.5¢3,700.05Shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$1.1KAvg2.8¢Current39¢3,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$1KAvg2.8¢Current37.5¢3,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$342PnL+$259Avg2.8¢Current11.4¢3,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$255PnL+$172Avg2.8¢Current8.5¢3,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
YesValue$246PnL+$79Avg5.6¢Current8.2¢3,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$77PnL−$7Avg2.8¢Current2.6¢3,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
YesValue$23PnL−$61Avg2.8¢Current0.8¢3,000Shares
Showing 8 of 50 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Sugarina: 11.2% win rate over 1,120 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −406.0%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−10.5% over 11 fills); +$9.2K lifetime P&L, $3.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.