PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x81f8…5f84

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 10 days ago
Lifetime volume$346.2K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded963Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.0% / $95% interval −5.5% to +3.6%44 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−1.0%n=44 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
35
Showing the largest 8 of 35
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 8?
NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg82¢Current0¢1.22Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 1?
NoValue$0PnL−$139Avg99¢Current0¢140Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?
NoValue$0PnL−$348Avg86.5¢Current0¢402.61Shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 10?
YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg5.9¢Current0¢256.26Shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 8?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg6¢Current0¢16.67Shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 9?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg3.4¢Current0¢294.07Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 10?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg5¢Current0¢200.57Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 10?
NoValue$0PnL−$850Avg98¢Current0¢867.35Shares
Showing 8 of 35 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x81f8552d27f27afbd55ce908dc53063f99dc5f84: edge −1.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −5.5%, n=44 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−1.0% over 44 fills); −$1.8K lifetime P&L, $346.2K traded, updated 2026-09-24.