PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x8191…da72

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$30.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate77.2%786 settled · past 90 days3 open · 100% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,446Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.6% / $95% interval −6.1% to +4.8%482 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+13.1%n=136 settled
Sports
−6.4%n=346 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 77.2% · Decided 786 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$3.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$504.1K
Concentration
89.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
336
Showing the largest 8 of 336
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Gibraltar vs. São Tomé e Príncipe: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Under · NoValue$2.8KPnL−$142Avg78.9¢Current75¢3,671.2Shares
Azerbaijan vs. Tajikistan: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Under · NoValue$314PnL−$31Avg82.9¢Current75.5¢415.59Shares
Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
UnderValue$1PnL−$5Avg60¢Current10¢10.58Shares
FC Famalicão vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
UnderValue$0.74PnL+$0.03Avg96¢Current100¢0.74Shares
Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Manisa Futbol Kulubu: O/U 3.5
UnderValue$0.73PnL+$0.03Avg96¢Current100¢0.73Shares
SV Zulte Waregem vs. Royal Charleroi SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
UnderValue$0.72PnL+$0.09Avg88¢Current100¢0.72Shares
FC Thun vs. Grasshopper Club Zurich: O/U 1.5
Under · NoValue$0.71PnL+$0.18Avg74¢Current100¢0.71Shares
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 3.5
Under · NoValue$0.69PnL+$0.05Avg92.8¢Current100¢0.69Shares
Showing 8 of 336 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x8191c793fd7edbadf0fae651f55c1da3b638da72: 77.2% win rate over 786 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −0.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.1%, n=482 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.4% over 346 fills); −$30.8K lifetime P&L, $3.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.