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Trader profile

Donny.T

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$21.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69%465 settled · past 180 days95 open · 12% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded621Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.3% / $95% interval −751.2% to +710.6%18 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−21.1%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69% · Decided 465 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$145.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$7.8K
Concentration
25%
Largest share of value
Positions
98
Showing the largest 8 of 98
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
NoValue$36.2KPnL+$993Avg90¢Current92.5¢39,175.39Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$27.1KPnL+$1.4KAvg94.4¢Current99.4¢27,302.31Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$12.7KPnL+$1.3KAvg86.6¢Current96.3¢13,177.52Shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
NoValue$8.1KPnL+$559Avg87.1¢Current93.5¢8,699.98Shares
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
NoValue$7.5KPnL+$428Avg87.6¢Current92.9¢8,090Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$7.3KPnL+$312Avg91.3¢Current95.4¢7,603.61Shares
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
YesValue$6.5KPnL+$218Avg94.8¢Current98.1¢6,656.29Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$6.5KPnL+$381Avg87.1¢Current92.5¢6,999.99Shares
Showing 8 of 98 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Donny.T: 69% win rate over 465 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −20.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −751.2%, n=18 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−21.1% over 17 fills); +$21.6K lifetime P&L, $3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.