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Trader profile

agrarward

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.3%1,984 settled · past 180 days3 open · <1% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$6.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,696Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+1.1% / $95% interval −1.4% to +3.6%63 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+1.1%n=58 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.3% · Decided 1,984 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$11.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$3K
Concentration
74.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
3
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
KUUSAMO.gg · NoValue$8.8KPnL+$18Avg49.7¢Current49.8¢17,625.11Shares
BBL · YesValue$3KPnL+$3KAvgCurrent97.9¢3,097.94Shares
Rostik Team · NoValue$0.78PnL−$0.78Avg0.1¢Current0.1¢1,568.59Shares
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet agrarward: 64.3% win rate over 1,984 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +1.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −1.4%, n=63 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+1.1% over 58 fills); −$5.3K lifetime P&L, $6.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.