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Trader profile

HaileyWelch

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$881.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.5%415 settled · past 90 days14 open · 56% underwater · 21 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$62M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded718Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.1% / $95% interval −64.4% to +70.6%121 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+4.3%n=117 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 8 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.5% · Decided 415 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete21 minutes ago
Current position value
$17.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$54.2K
Concentration
28.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
144
Showing the largest 8 of 144
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on September 25?
YesValue$5KPnL+$280Avg94.3¢Current99.9¢5,000Shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on September 24?
YesValue$5KPnL+$248Avg94.8¢Current99.8¢5,000Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 24?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$668Avg69.5¢Current91.4¢3,042.84Shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 25?
NoValue$2.8KPnL−$1.2KAvg80.8¢Current57¢4,855.01Shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on September 24?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$249Avg83¢Current67.5¢1,604.74Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?
NoValue$326PnL−$42Avg68.3¢Current60.5¢538.87Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26?
YesValue$298PnL−$34Avg38.4¢Current34.5¢863.98Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 25?
NoValue$33PnL−$3Avg77¢Current70¢47.11Shares
Showing 8 of 144 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HaileyWelch: 61.5% win rate over 415 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +3.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −64.4%, n=121 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+4.3% over 117 fills); +$881.9K lifetime P&L, $62M traded, updated 2026-09-24.