PolyTrace
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Trader profile

TRUMPSATOS

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$14.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateNot measured yet0 open · 12 days ago
Lifetime volume$285.3K109 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded57Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.7% / $95% interval −45.0% to +21.5%21 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.7%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$25.8K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
35
Showing the largest 8 of 35
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$300Avg16¢Current1,875Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$150Avg12¢Current1,250Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg15¢Current100Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg62.5¢Current3,597.55Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg17.1¢Current5,964.92Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$200AvgCurrent2,500Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$750Avg63¢Current1,190.48Shares
France · YesValue$0PnL−$4KAvg58.2¢Current6,874.35Shares
Showing 8 of 35 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet TRUMPSATOS: edge −11.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −45.0%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.7% over 21 fills); −$14.3K lifetime P&L, $285.3K traded, updated 2026-09-20.