PolyTrace
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Trader profile

puravida

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$39.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…92 open · 51% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded592Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+28.4% / $95% interval +5.8% to +51.1%195 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+108.9%n=33 settled
Finance
+3.9%n=148 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$40.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$50.3K
Concentration
14.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
496
Showing the largest 8 of 496
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US recession by end of 2026?
NoValue$6KPnL+$1.4KAvg71.4¢Current92.5¢6,499.83Shares
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
NoValue$5KPnL+$978Avg78.5¢Current97.7¢5,109.31Shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
NoValue$3.7KPnL+$410Avg87.7¢Current98.7¢3,752.12Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$2.7KPnL−$36Avg65.4¢Current64.5¢4,250.01Shares
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
YesValue$2.5KPnL+$172Avg80.7¢Current86.6¢2,924.4Shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
NoValue$1.9KPnL+$387Avg77.4¢Current97.8¢1,899.84Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$113Avg78¢Current85.5¢1,500Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$10Avg56¢Current56.5¢1,938.37Shares
Showing 8 of 496 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet puravida: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +28.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +5.8%, n=195 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+108.9% over 33 fills); +$39.6K lifetime P&L, $7.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.