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Trader profile

de5nuts

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$155KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate37%73 settled · past 90 days23 open · 71% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded329Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−24.5% / $95% interval −146.7% to +97.7%71 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+12.7%n=20 settled
Finance
−31.4%n=23 settled
Politics
−31.6%n=28 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 37% · Decided 73 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$78.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$40.9K
Concentration
33%
Largest share of value
Positions
57
Showing the largest 8 of 57
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$25.8KPnL+$3.1KAvg85.1¢Current96.7¢26,702.64Shares
NoValue$9.8KPnL+$134Avg90.3¢Current91.6¢10,699.96Shares
NoValue$8.4KPnL−$4.5KAvg63.9¢Current41.8¢20,197.33Shares
YesValue$6.5KPnL−$4.7KAvg25¢Current14.5¢44,658.79Shares
YesValue$5.2KPnL−$1.1KAvg27¢Current22.2¢23,486.27Shares
NoValue$3.7KPnL+$180Avg89¢Current93.5¢4,000Shares
NoValue$3.2KPnL−$594Avg36.1¢Current30.5¢10,592.81Shares
YesValue$3.1KPnL+$2KAvg5.5¢Current15.5¢20,000Shares
Showing 8 of 57 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet de5nuts: 37% win rate over 73 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −24.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −146.7%, n=71 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+12.7% over 20 fills); +$155K lifetime P&L, $7.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.