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Trader profile

Lisbon

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$10.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Positions repeatedly closed near their entry price19 open · 49% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded617Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.2% / $95% interval −240.6% to +220.3%75 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+0.7%n=21 settled
Finance
−9.5%n=25 settled
Sports
−13.4%n=27 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Flat-price round trips dominate this sample, so no win rate is shown.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$69K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$256
Concentration
34.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$23.6KPnL+$112Avg98.8¢Current99.3¢23,825.73Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
NoValue$15KPnL+$6.3KAvg50¢Current86.9¢17,215Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$10KPnL+$193Avg97.7¢Current99.7¢10,000Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$5.2KPnL−$133Avg50¢Current48.8¢10,628.53Shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
NoValue$4.8KPnL−$13Avg96.2¢Current96¢5,000Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$2.9KPnL+$71Avg50¢Current51.2¢5,658.11Shares
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$2Avg99.6¢Current99.7¢2,818.21Shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$2.3KPnL−$6.3KAvg50¢Current13.2¢17,215Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Lisbon: edge −10.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −240.6%, n=75 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+0.7% over 21 fills); +$10.2K lifetime P&L, $3.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.