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Trader profile

LulaVaiPerder

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$440.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate80.8%182 settled · past 90 days25 open · 2% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$10.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded402Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.7% / $95% interval −222.3% to +179.0%259 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−0.6%n=19 settled
Politics
−20.5%n=163 settled
Finance
−25.8%n=74 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 80.8% · Decided 182 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$680K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$78.6K
Concentration
71.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
56
Showing the largest 8 of 56
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$483.3KPnL+$80.4KAvg72.1¢Current86.5¢558,706.02Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$74.5KPnL+$12.4KAvg47.8¢Current57.4¢129,918.09Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$32.6KPnL+$3.1KAvg85.4¢Current94.6¢34,507.43Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$18.4KPnL+$4.9KAvg70.9¢Current96.6¢19,020.43Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$14.2KPnL+$995Avg54.4¢Current58.5¢24,318.27Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$11.7KPnL−$2.2KAvg83.8¢Current70.5¢16,612.79Shares
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?
NoValue$9.3KPnL+$623Avg87¢Current93.3¢9,972Shares
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
NoValue$5.4KPnL+$250Avg92.5¢Current96.9¢5,619.12Shares
Showing 8 of 56 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LulaVaiPerder: 80.8% win rate over 182 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −222.3%, n=259 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−0.6% over 19 fills); +$440.4K lifetime P&L, $10.7M traded, updated 2026-09-24.