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Trader profile

MellowWaters

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$258Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate22.8%127 settled · past 180 days9 open · 57% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$222.1K355 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded137Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 22.8% · Decided 127 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$768
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.4K
Concentration
23.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
79
Showing the largest 8 of 79
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West?
YesValue$183PnL−$17Avg26.2¢Current24¢762.58Shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
YesValue$161PnL+$67Avg8.3¢Current14.2¢1,128.91Shares
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
YesValue$145PnL−$20Avg17¢Current15¢968.55Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
YesValue$100PnL+$26Avg35¢Current47.5¢211.43Shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
YesValue$97PnL+$3Avg14¢Current14.5¢671.43Shares
Will Jared Goff finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?
YesValue$63PnL+$3Avg13.4¢Current14¢448.53Shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
YesValue$12PnL−$5Avg2.5¢Current1.7¢684.97Shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$5PnL−$69Avg3.6¢Current0.3¢2,055.56Shares
Showing 8 of 79 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet MellowWaters: 22.8% win rate over 127 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$258 lifetime P&L, $222.1K traded, updated 2026-09-20.