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Trader profile

insosmoke

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$284Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet2 open · 0% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$117K645 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded472Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$3.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.2K
Concentration
71.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
321
Showing the largest 8 of 321
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$2.6KPnL+$359Avg78.7¢Current91.5¢2,795.96Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$1KPnL+$29Avg87¢Current89.5¢1,149.43Shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?
YesValue$0PnL−$6Avg3.7¢Current0¢173.36Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?
YesValue$0PnL−$40Avg15.6¢Current0¢258.87Shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 26?
YesValue$0PnL−$11Avg23¢Current0¢48Shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 22?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg13¢Current0¢96.92Shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 20?
YesValue$0PnL−$6Avg4.5¢Current0¢135.1Shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 3?
YesValue$0PnL−$36Avg26¢Current0¢136.95Shares
Showing 8 of 321 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet insosmoke: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$284 lifetime P&L, $117K traded, updated 2026-09-22.