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Trader profile

casper7

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$47.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate61.9%139 settled · past 180 days0 open · 1 month ago
Lifetime volume$5.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded175Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+21.5% / $95% interval −52.1% to +95.1%242 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+21.5%n=242 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 61.9% · Decided 139 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$21.5K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
3
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Brazil · YesValue$0PnL−$20.5KAvg75.8¢Current27,029.6Shares
Andrej Nedic · YesValue$0PnL−$940Avg94¢Current1,000Shares
Lithuania · NoValue$0PnL−$55Avg75.7¢Current72.56Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet casper7: 61.9% win rate over 139 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +21.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −52.1%, n=242 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+21.5% over 242 fills); −$47.7K lifetime P&L, $5.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.