PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

Tender-Series

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$16.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 8 settled so far0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$3.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded25Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−54.5% / $95% interval −553.2% to +444.1%18 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−54.5%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$15.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg0.4¢Current0¢448,338.14Shares
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
YesValue$0PnL−$17Avg0.2¢Current0¢10,128.64Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$410Avg0.2¢Current0¢205,000.1Shares
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$47Avg1.6¢Current0¢2,840.82Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg0.2¢Current0¢50,000Shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$9Avg0.7¢Current0¢1,231.46Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg47¢Current0¢4.99Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$0PnL−$498Avg1.1¢Current0¢44,230.93Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Tender-Series: edge −54.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −553.2%, n=18 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−54.5% over 18 fills); −$16.9K lifetime P&L, $3.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.